Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.194455 11.414888 12.734512 14.269222 16.007296 17.917199 20.178475
2025-04-13 8.008567 9.548985 11.331337 13.552572 16.255715 19.449982 23.527532
2025-04-20 6.735307 8.494426 10.657429 13.527674 17.258902 21.975499 28.437380
2025-04-27 5.795986 7.696156 10.167362 13.644118 18.453367 24.935020 34.440014
2025-05-04 4.990260 6.946496 9.625387 13.604906 19.439771 27.795734 40.874065
2025-05-11 4.233574 6.150560 8.901907 13.198167 19.846427 29.922543 46.693520
2025-05-18 3.644097 5.507683 8.301604 12.873008 20.316372 32.223007 53.248125
2025-05-25 3.174460 4.977134 7.791753 12.603434 20.824260 34.668630 60.547490
2025-06-01 2.807134 4.555020 7.390273 12.442641 21.479951 37.470338 69.057346
2025-06-08 2.511692 4.209217 7.063615 12.354393 22.242129 40.589312 78.828038
2025-06-15 2.327773 4.026386 6.985534 12.688689 23.823293 45.495093 93.185630
2025-06-22 2.103383 3.742898 6.691467 12.578420 24.538522 48.859384 105.138573
2025-06-29 1.873495 3.426021 6.305244 12.254135 24.819016 51.493851 116.373577
2025-07-06 1.687197 3.167202 5.994314 12.032578 25.278154 54.610202 129.553626
2025-07-13 1.578644 3.044299 5.930702 12.311410 26.871838 60.576611 151.301451
2025-07-20 1.487130 2.943512 5.897817 12.651684 28.672802 67.419329 177.279989
2025-07-27 1.386778 2.812120 5.784305 12.796199 30.048048 73.540377 203.141063
2025-08-03 1.264749 2.620528 5.518126 12.549751 30.429463 77.235675 223.196911
2025-08-10 1.159540 2.452802 5.283127 12.341704 30.874220 81.210895 245.371506
2025-08-17 1.067590 2.303673 5.071365 12.158581 31.354831 85.406899 269.631315
2025-08-24 0.990870 2.180102 4.903159 12.059786 32.050063 90.390122 298.204555
2025-08-31 0.925200 2.074551 4.764457 12.016604 32.897662 96.038373 331.084587
2025-09-07 0.888636 2.033250 4.775430 12.373876 34.980202 106.021358 383.530796